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2024

  • Akabane, T. K.; Chiessi, C. M.; Hirota, M.; Bouimetarhan, I.; Prange, M.; Mulitza, S.; Bertassoli Jr, D. J.; Häggi, C.; Staal, A.; Lohmann, G.; Boers, N.; Daniau, A. L.; Oliveira, R. S.; Campos, M. C.; Shi, X.; De Oliveira, P. E.: Weaker Atlantic overturning circulation increases the vulnerability of northern Amazon forests. Nature Geoscience 17 (12), 2024, 1284-1290 more…
  • Bathiany, Sebastian; Bastiaansen, Robbin; Bastos, Ana; Blaschke, Lana; Lever, Jelle; Loriani, Sina; De Keersmaecker, Wanda; Dorigo, Wouter; Milenković, Milutin; Senf, Cornelius; Smith, Taylor; Verbesselt, Jan; Boers, Niklas: Ecosystem Resilience Monitoring and Early Warning Using Earth Observation Data: Challenges and Outlook. Surveys in Geophysics, 2024 more…
  • Bathiany, Sebastian; Nian, Da; Drüke, Markus; Boers, Niklas: Resilience Indicators for Tropical Rainforests in a Dynamic Vegetation Model. Global Change Biology 30 (12), 2024 more…
  • Ben-Yami, Maya; Morr, Andreas; Bathiany, Sebastian; Boers, Niklas: Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data. Science Advances 10 (31), 2024 more…
  • Benson, Vitus; Donges, Jonathan F; Boers, Niklas; Hirota, Marina; Morr, Andreas; Staal, Arie; Vollmer, Jürgen; Wunderling, Nico: Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances. Environmental Research Letters 19 (2), 2024, 024029 more…
  • Ben‐Yami, M.; Good, P.; Jackson, L. C.; Crucifix, M.; Hu, A.; Saenko, O.; Swingedouw, D.; Boers, N.: Impacts of AMOC Collapse on Monsoon Rainfall: A Multi‐Model Comparison. Earth's Future 12 (9), 2024 more…
  • Blaschke, Lana L.; Nian, Da; Bathiany, Sebastian; Ben‐Yami, Maya; Smith, Taylor; Boulton, Chris A.; Boers, Niklas: Spatial Correlation Increase in Single‐Sensor Satellite Data Reveals Loss of Amazon Rainforest Resilience. Earth's Future 12 (7), 2024 more…
  • Chen, Min; Qian, Zhen; Boers, Niklas; Creutzig, Felix; Camps-Valls, Gustau; Hubacek, Klaus; Claramunt, Christophe; Wilson, John P.; Nativi, Stefano; Jakeman, Anthony J.; Müller, R. Dietmar; Batty, Michael; Zhou, Chenghu; Chen, Fahu; Wang, Qiao; Zhang, Fan; Barton, C. Michael; Strobl, Josef; Meadows, Michael; Ratti, Carlo; Hess, Philipp; Xu, Qingsong; Zhang, Zhixin; Gu, Qiushi; Zhu, A-Xing; Lin, Hui; Yuan, Linwang; Lü, Guonian: Collaboration between artificial intelligence and Earth science communities for mutual benefit. Nature Geoscience 17 (10), 2024, 949-952 more…
  • Dakos, Vasilis; Boulton, Chris A.; Buxton, Joshua E.; Abrams, Jesse F.; Arellano-Nava, Beatriz; Armstrong McKay, David I.; Bathiany, Sebastian; Blaschke, Lana; Boers, Niklas; Dylewsky, Daniel; López-Martínez, Carlos; Parry, Isobel; Ritchie, Paul; van der Bolt, Bregje; van der Laan, Larissa; Weinans, Els; Kéfi, Sonia: Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems. Earth System Dynamics 15 (4), 2024, 1117-1135 more…
  • Flores, Bernardo M.; Montoya, Encarni; Sakschewski, Boris; Nascimento, Nathália; Staal, Arie; Betts, Richard A.; Levis, Carolina; Lapola, David M.; Esquível-Muelbert, Adriane; Jakovac, Catarina; Nobre, Carlos A.; Oliveira, Rafael S.; Borma, Laura S.; Nian, Da; Boers, Niklas; Hecht, Susanna B.; ter Steege, Hans; Arieira, Julia; Lucas, Isabella L.; Berenguer, Erika; Marengo, José A.; Gatti, Luciana V.; Mattos, Caio R. C.; Hirota, Marina: Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system. Nature 626 (7999), 2024, 555-564 more…
  • Huang, Yu; Bathiany, Sebastian; Ashwin, Peter; Boers, Niklas: Deep learning for predicting rate-induced tipping. Nature Machine Intelligence, 2024 more…
  • Lenton, Timothy M.; Abrams, Jesse F.; Bartsch, Annett; Bathiany, Sebastian; Boulton, Chris A.; Buxton, Joshua E.; Conversi, Alessandra; Cunliffe, Andrew M.; Hebden, Sophie; Lavergne, Thomas; Poulter, Benjamin; Shepherd, Andrew; Smith, Taylor; Swingedouw, Didier; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Boers, Niklas: Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales. Nature Communications 15 (1), 2024 more…
  • Li, Kaiwen; Huang, Yu; Liu, Kai; Wang, Ming; Cai, Fenying; Zhang, Jianxin; Boers, Niklas: Key propagation pathways of extreme precipitation events revealed by climate networks. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 7 (1), 2024 more…
  • Liu, Qianze; He, Wenping; Xie, Xiaoqiang; Mei, Ying; Sun, Hui; Boers, Niklas: Early warning signal of abrupt change in sea level pressure based on changing spectral exponent. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals 187, 2024, 115350 more…
  • Lyu, Pumeng; Tang, Tao; Ling, Fenghua; Luo, Jing-Jia; Boers, Niklas; Ouyang, Wanli; Bai, Lei: ResoNet: Robust and Explainable ENSO Forecasts with Hybrid Convolution and Transformer Networks. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 41 (7), 2024, 1289-1298 more…
  • Mitsui, Takahito; Boers, Niklas: Statistical precursor signals for Dansgaard–Oeschger cooling transitions. Climate of the Past 20 (3), 2024, 683-699 more…
  • Morr, Andreas; Boers, Niklas: Detection of Approaching Critical Transitions in Natural Systems Driven by Red Noise. Physical Review X 14 (2), 2024 more…
  • Morr, Andreas; Boers, Niklas; Ashwin, Peter: Internal Noise Interference to Warnings of Tipping Points in Generic Multidimensional Dynamical Systems. SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems 23 (4), 2024, 2793-2806 more…
  • Morr, Andreas; Riechers, Keno; Gorjão, Leonardo Rydin; Boers, Niklas: Anticipating critical transitions in multidimensional systems driven by time- and state-dependent noise. Physical Review Research 6 (3), 2024 more…
  • Nian, Da; Bathiany, Sebastian; Sakschewski, Boris; Drüke, Markus; Blaschke, Lana; Ben-Yami, Maya; von Bloh, Werner; Boers, Niklas: Rainfall seasonality dominates critical precipitation threshold for the Amazon forest in the LPJmL vegetation model. Science of The Total Environment 947, 2024, 174378 more…
  • Poltronieri, Anna; Bochow, Nils; Boers, Niklas; Rypdal, Martin: Increasing fluctuations in the Arctic summer sea ice cover are expected with future global warming. Environmental Research: Climate 3 (3), 2024, 035007 more…
  • Poltronieri, Anna; Bochow, Nils; Olson Aksamit, Nikolas; Boers, Niklas; Kristen Jakobsen, Per; Rypdal, Martin: Arctic summer sea ice loss will accelerate in coming decades. Environmental Research Letters 19 (7), 2024, 074032 more…
  • Riechers, Keno; Gottwald, Georg; Boers, Niklas: Glacial Abrupt Climate Change as a Multiscale Phenomenon Resulting from Monostable Excitable Dynamics. Journal of Climate 37 (8), 2024, 2741-2763 more…
  • Salas, Hernán D.; Builes‐Jaramillo, Alejandro; Boers, Niklas; Poveda, Germán; Mesa, Óscar J.; Kurths, Jürgen: Precipitation over northern South America and the far‐eastern Pacific during <scp>ENSO</scp>: Phase synchronization at inter‐annual time scales. International Journal of Climatology 44 (6), 2024, 2106-2123 more…
  • Wang, Ya; Huang, Gang; Pan, Baoxiang; Lin, Pengfei; Boers, Niklas; Tao, Weichen; Chen, Yutong; Liu, Bo; Li, Haijie: Correcting Climate Model Sea Surface Temperature Simulations with Generative Adversarial Networks: Climatology, Interannual Variability, and Extremes. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 41 (7), 2024, 1299-1312 more…
  • White, Alistair; Kilbertus, Niki; Gelbrecht, Maximilian; Boers, Niklas: Stabilized neural differential equations for learning dynamics with explicit constraints. Proceedings of the 37th International Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS '23), Curran Associates Inc., 2024 more…
  • Zhang, Hao; Xu, Jin-Jian; Cui, Hong-Wei; Li, Lin; Yang, Yaowen; Tang, Chao-Sheng; Boers, Niklas: When Geoscience Meets Foundation Models: Toward a general geoscience artificial intelligence system. IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Magazine, 2024, 2-41 more…

2023

  • Ben-Yami, Maya; Skiba, Vanessa; Bathiany, Sebastian; Boers, Niklas: Uncertainties in critical slowing down indicators of observation-based fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Circulation. Nature Communications 14 (1), 2023 more…
  • Bochow, Nils; Boers, Niklas: The South American monsoon approaches a critical transition in response to deforestation. Science Advances 9 (40), 2023 more…
  • Bochow, Nils; Poltronieri, Anna; Robinson, Alexander; Montoya, Marisa; Rypdal, Martin; Boers, Niklas: Overshooting the critical threshold for the Greenland ice sheet. Nature 622 (7983), 2023, 528-536 more…
  • Boers, Niklas: Reply to: Evidence lacking for a pending collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Nature Climate Change, 2023 more…
  • Chen, Min; Qian, Zhen; Boers, Niklas; Jakeman, Anthony J.; Kettner, Albert J.; Brandt, Martin; Kwan, Mei-Po; Batty, Michael; Li, Wenwen; Zhu, Rui; Luo, Wei; Ames, Daniel P.; Barton, C. Michael; Cuddy, Susan M.; Koirala, Sujan; Zhang, Fan; Ratti, Carlo; Liu, Jian; Zhong, Teng; Liu, Junzhi; Wen, Yongning; Yue, Songshan; Zhu, Zhiyi; Zhang, Zhixin; Sun, Zhuo; Lin, Jian; Ma, Zaiyang; He, Yuanqing; Xu, Kai; Zhang, Chunxiao; Lin, Hui; Lü, Guonian: Iterative integration of deep learning in hybrid Earth surface system modelling. Nature Reviews Earth &amp; Environment, 2023 more…
  • Dakos, V.; Boulton, C. A.; Buxton, J. E.; Abrams, J. F.; Armstrong McKay, D. I.; Bathiany, S.; Blaschke, L.; Boers, N.; Dylewsky, D.; López-Martínez, C.; Parry, I.; Ritchie, P.; van der Bolt, B.; van der Laan, L.; Weinans, E.; K\f́i, S.: Tipping Point Detection and Early-Warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems. EGUsphere 2023, 2023, 1--35 more…
  • Fohlmeister, Jens; Luetscher, Marc; Spötl, Christoph; Schröder-Ritzrau, Andrea; Schröder, Birgit; Frank, Norbert; Eichstädter, René; Trüssel, Martin; Skiba, Vanessa; Boers, Niklas: The role of Northern Hemisphere summer insolation for millennial-scale climate variability during the penultimate glacial. Communications Earth &amp; Environment 4 (1), 2023 more…
  • Fohlmeister, Jens; Sekhon, Natasha; Columbu, Andrea; Vettoretti, Guido; Weitzel, Nils; Rehfeld, Kira; Veiga-Pires, Cristina; Ben-Yami, Maya; Marwan, Norbert; Boers, Niklas: Global reorganization of atmospheric circulation during Dansgaard–Oeschger cycles. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 120 (36), 2023 more…
  • Gelbrecht, Maximilian; White, Alistair; Bathiany, Sebastian; Boers, Niklas: Differentiable programming for Earth system modeling. Geoscientific Model Development 16 (11), 2023, 3123-3135 more…
  • Hess, Philipp; Lange, Stefan; Schötz, Christof; Boers, Niklas: Deep Learning for Bias‐Correcting CMIP6‐Class Earth System Models. Earth's Future 11 (10), 2023 more…
  • Mitsui, Takahito; Willeit, Matteo; Boers, Niklas: Synchronization phenomena observed in glacial–interglacial cycles simulated in an Earth system model of intermediate complexity. Earth System Dynamics 14 (6), 2023, 1277-1294 more…
  • Morr, Andreas; Boers, Niklas; Ashwin, Peter: Internal noise interference to warnings of tipping points in generic multi-dimensional dynamical systems. , 2023 more…
  • Nian, Da; Bathiany, Sebastian; Ben-Yami, Maya; Blaschke, Lana L.; Hirota, Marina; Rodrigues, Regina R.; Boers, Niklas: A potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation may stabilise eastern Amazonian rainforests. Communications Earth &amp; Environment 4 (1), 2023 more…
  • Riechers, Keno; Rydin Gorjão, Leonardo; Hassanibesheli, Forough; Lind, Pedro G.; Witthaut, Dirk; Boers, Niklas: Stable stadial and interstadial states of the last glacial's climate identified in a combined stable water isotope and dust record from Greenland. Earth System Dynamics 14 (3), 2023, 593-607 more…
  • Smith, Taylor; Boers, Niklas: Global vegetation resilience linked to water availability and variability. Nature Communications 14 (1), 2023 more…
  • Smith, Taylor; Boers, Niklas: Reliability of vegetation resilience estimates depends on biomass density. Nature Ecology &amp; Evolution 7 (11), 2023, 1799-1808 more…
  • Smith, Taylor; Zotta, Ruxandra-Maria; Boulton, Chris A.; Lenton, Timothy M.; Dorigo, Wouter; Boers, Niklas: Reliability of resilience estimation based on multi-instrument time series. Earth System Dynamics 14 (1), 2023, 173-183 more…
  • Strnad, Felix M.; Schlör, Jakob; Geen, Ruth; Boers, Niklas; Goswami, Bedartha: Propagation pathways of Indo-Pacific rainfall extremes are modulated by Pacific sea surface temperatures. Nature Communications 14 (1), 2023 more…
  • Tao, Shengli; Wigneron, Jean-Pierre; Chave, Jerome; Tang, Zhiyao; Wang, Zhiheng; Zhu, Jiangling; Guo, Qinghua; Liu, Yi Y.; Ciais, Philippe: Little evidence that Amazonian rainforests are approaching a tipping point. Nature Climate Change, 2023 more…
  • Tao, Shengli; Wigneron, Jean-Pierre; Chave, Jerome; Tang, Zhiyao; Wang, Zhiheng; Zhu, Jiangling; Guo, Qinghua; Liu, Yi Y.; Ciais, Philippe: Little evidence that Amazonian rainforests are approaching a tipping point. Nature Climate Change 13 (12), 2023, 1317-1320 more…
  • Vallejo-Bernal, Sara M.; Wolf, Frederik; Boers, Niklas; Traxl, Dominik; Marwan, Norbert; Kurths, Jürgen: The role of atmospheric rivers in the distribution of heavy precipitation events over North America. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 27 (14), 2023, 2645-2660 more…
  • Zhao, Shan; Saha, Sudipan; Xiong, Zhitong; Boers, Niklas; Zhu, Xiao Xiang: Exploring Geometric Deep Learning for Precipitation Nowcasting. IGARSS 2023 - 2023 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IEEE, 2023 more…
  • Zheng, Yayun; Boers, Niklas: Mean exit times as global measure of resilience of tropical forest systems under climatic disturbances—Analytical and numerical results. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 33 (11), 2023 more…

2022

  • Boers, Niklas; Ghil, Michael; Stocker, Thomas F: Theoretical and paleoclimatic evidence for abrupt transitions in the Earth system. Environmental Research Letters 17 (9), 2022, 093006 more…
  • Boettner, Christopher; Boers, Niklas: Critical slowing down in dynamical systems driven by nonstationary correlated noise. Physical Review Research 4 (1), 2022 more…
  • Boulton, Chris A.; Lenton, Timothy M.; Boers, Niklas: Pronounced loss of Amazon rainforest resilience since the early 2000s. Nature Climate Change 12 (3), 2022, 271-278 more…
  • Gupta, Shraddha; Su, Zhen; Boers, Niklas; Kurths, Jürgen; Marwan, Norbert; Pappenberger, Florian: Interconnection between the Indian and the East Asian summer monsoon: Spatial synchronization patterns of extreme rainfall events. International Journal of Climatology 43 (2), 2022, 1034-1049 more…
  • Hassanibesheli, Forough; Kurths, Jürgen; Boers, Niklas: Long-term ENSO prediction with echo-state networks. Environmental Research: Climate 1 (1), 2022, 011002 more…
  • Hess, Philipp; Boers, Niklas: Deep Learning for Improving Numerical Weather Prediction of Heavy Rainfall. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 14 (3), 2022 more…
  • Hess, Philipp; Drüke, Markus; Petri, Stefan; Strnad, Felix M.; Boers, Niklas: Physically constrained generative adversarial networks for improving precipitation fields from Earth system models. Nature Machine Intelligence 4 (10), 2022, 828-839 more…
  • Lenton, Timothy M.; Buxton, Joshua E.; Armstrong McKay, David I.; Abrams, Jesse F.; Boulton, Chris A.; Lees, Kirsten; Powell, Thomas W. R.; Boers, Niklas; Cunliffe, Andrew M.; Dakos, Vasilis: A resilience sensing system for the biosphere. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 377 (1857), 2022 more…
  • Mitsui, Takahito; Boers, Niklas: Machine learning approach reveals strong link between obliquity amplitude increase and the Mid-Brunhes transition. Quaternary Science Reviews 277, 2022, 107344 more…
  • Myrvoll-Nilsen, Eirik; Riechers, Keno; Rypdal, Martin Wibe; Boers, Niklas: Comprehensive uncertainty estimation of the timing of Greenland warmings in the Greenland ice core records. Climate of the Past 18 (6), 2022, 1275-1294 more…
  • Myrvoll-Nilsen, Eirik; Riechers, Keno; Rypdal, Martin Wibe; Boers, Niklas: Comprehensive uncertainty estimation of the timing of Greenland warmings in the Greenland ice core records. Climate of the Past 18 (6), 2022, 1275-1294 more…
  • Riechers, Keno; Mitsui, Takahito; Boers, Niklas; Ghil, Michael: Orbital insolation variations, intrinsic climate variability, and Quaternary glaciations. Climate of the Past 18 (4), 2022, 863-893 more…
  • Smith, Taylor; Traxl, Dominik; Boers, Niklas: Empirical evidence for recent global shifts in vegetation resilience. Nature Climate Change 12 (5), 2022, 477-484 more…

2021

  • Boers, Niklas: Observation-based early-warning signals for a collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Nature Climate Change 11 (8), 2021, 680-688 more…
  • Boers, Niklas; Kurths, Jürgen; Marwan, Norbert: Complex systems approaches for Earth system data analysis. Journal of Physics: Complexity 2 (1), 2021, 011001 more…
  • Boers, Niklas; Rypdal, Martin: Critical slowing down suggests that the western Greenland Ice Sheet is close to a tipping point. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (21), 2021 more…
  • Boettner, Christopher; Klinghammer, Georg; Boers, Niklas; Westerhold, Thomas; Marwan, Norbert: Early-warning signals for Cenozoic climate transitions. Quaternary Science Reviews 270, 2021, 107177 more…
  • Ciemer, Catrin; Winkelmann, Ricarda; Kurths, Jürgen; Boers, Niklas: Impact of an AMOC weakening on the stability of the southern Amazon rainforest. The European Physical Journal Special Topics 230 (14-15), 2021, 3065-3073 more…
  • Gelbrecht, Maximilian; Boers, Niklas; Kurths, Jürgen: Neural partial differential equations for chaotic systems. New Journal of Physics 23 (4), 2021, 043005 more…
  • Gelbrecht, Maximilian; Boers, Niklas; Kurths, Jürgen: Variability of the low-level circulation of the South American Monsoon analysed with complex networks. The European Physical Journal Special Topics 230 (14-15), 2021, 3101-3120 more…
  • Gelbrecht, Maximilian; Lucarini, Valerio; Boers, Niklas; Kurths, Jürgen: Analysis of a bistable climate toy model with physics-based machine learning methods. The European Physical Journal Special Topics 230 (14-15), 2021, 3121-3131 more…
  • Good, Peter; Boers, Niklas; Boulton, Chris A.; Lowe, Jason A.; Richter, Ingo: How might a collapse in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation affect rainfall over tropical South America? Climate Resilience and Sustainability 1 (1), 2021 more…
  • Gupta, Shraddha; Boers, Niklas; Pappenberger, Florian; Kurths, Jürgen: Complex network approach for detecting tropical cyclones. Climate Dynamics 57 (11-12), 2021, 3355-3364 more…
  • Irrgang, Christopher; Boers, Niklas; Sonnewald, Maike; Barnes, Elizabeth A.; Kadow, Christopher; Staneva, Joanna; Saynisch-Wagner, Jan: Towards neural Earth system modelling by integrating artificial intelligence in Earth system science. Nature Machine Intelligence 3 (8), 2021, 667-674 more…
  • Ludescher, Josef; Martin, Maria; Boers, Niklas; Bunde, Armin; Ciemer, Catrin; Fan, Jingfang; Havlin, Shlomo; Kretschmer, Marlene; Kurths, Jürgen; Runge, Jakob; Stolbova, Veronika; Surovyatkina, Elena; Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim: Network-based forecasting of climate phenomena. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (47), 2021 more…
  • Mitsui, Takahito; Boers, Niklas: Seasonal prediction of Indian summer monsoon onset with echo state networks. Environmental Research Letters 16 (7), 2021, 074024 more…
  • Riechers, Keno; Boers, Niklas: Significance of uncertain phasing between the onsets of stadial–interstadial transitions in different Greenland ice core proxies. Climate of the Past 17 (4), 2021, 1751-1775 more…
  • Rypdal, Martin; Boers, Niklas; Fredriksen, Hege-Beate; Eiselt, Kai-Uwe; Johansen, Andreas; Martinsen, Andreas; Falck Mentzoni, Endre; Graversen, Rune G.; Rypdal, Kristoffer: Estimating Remaining Carbon Budgets Using Temperature Responses Informed by CMIP6. Frontiers in Climate 3, 2021 more…
  • Traxl, Dominik; Boers, Niklas; Rheinwalt, Aljoscha; Bookhagen, Bodo: The role of cyclonic activity in tropical temperature-rainfall scaling. Nature Communications 12 (1), 2021 more…
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